Williams AO/AC Signals W38 2026 — 13 Signals Across 6 Sectors
W38 2026: 13 AO/AC signals across 366 tickers. Source: radar.db. Auto-generated.
Edition 22 · 2026-09-18
W37 Scorecard
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Published candidates from last week. No edits. No omissions.
Performance of all Category A candidates named in W37. Prices measured from the last weekly close of W37 (2026-09-11) to the last weekly close of W38 (2026-09-18). Polygon weekly bars — last trading day of the week.
| Ticker | Signal (W37) | Entry Reference | W38 Close | Δ% | Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLN | S1 | $17.20 | $16.84 | -2.1% | — | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| TTD | S1 | $14.34 | $13.92 | -2.9% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p1%. |
| HUN | S1 | $9.54 | $9.09 | -4.7% | — | Still S1, p6%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RBLX | S2D | $45.50 | $47.82 | +5.1% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| UDR | S1 | $35.12 | $33.90 | -3.5% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| ALNY | S2D | $248.68 | $239.56 | -3.7% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| CARR | S1 | $57.46 | $53.88 | -6.2% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| MLM | S1 | $509.96 | $490.64 | -3.8% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CC | S1 | $15.03 | $14.34 | -4.6% | — | Still S1, p24%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NRG | S1 | $113.46 | $103.66 | -8.6% | — | Still S1, p21%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| UPS | S1 | $100.28 | $99.06 | -1.2% | — | Still S1, p30%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| YUM | S1 | $140.87 | $137.99 | -2.0% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| QCOM | S2D | $181.97 | $177.72 | -2.3% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| LIN | S1 | $466.22 | $460.40 | -1.2% | — | Still S1, p41%. Holding. |
| ON | S1 | $76.14 | $69.98 | -8.1% | — | Still S1, p41%. Holding. |
| NI | S1 | $41.41 | $40.58 | -2.0% | — | Still S1, p44%. Holding. |
| META | S2D | $648.03 | $665.75 | +2.7% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| MCHP | S1 | $74.20 | $73.27 | -1.3% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| PTCT | S1 | $66.06 | $65.37 | -1.0% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| VRT | S1 | $257.06 | $249.39 | -3.0% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CNP | S1 | $39.11 | $38.22 | -2.3% | — | Still S1, p59%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | $166.40 | $150.13 | -9.8% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
Result key: ✓ escalation · ✗ signal lost · — holding/no position. Entry Reference = last weekly close of W37 (2026-09-11). W38 Close = last weekly close 2026-09-18. Source: radar.db weekly_bars.
Scorecard summary: 1 escalated · 12 lost signal · 9 holding · 2 of 22 positive · Avg Δ: -3.0% · SPY W37→W38: -0.3%
Exit Analysis — W37 Signals
🔴 ANALYSIS — Did the 12 names that lost signal exit on real appreciation or noise?
| Ticker | Δ% | Exit Reason | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| RBLX | +5.1% | AC crossed positive | ✅ Real appreciation |
| META | +2.7% | AC crossed positive | ⚠️ Range — move without conviction |
| PTCT | -1.0% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| MCHP | -1.3% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| YUM | -2.0% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| QCOM | -2.3% | AC crossed positive | ❌ False technical signal — AC tick, price fell |
| VRT | -3.0% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| UDR | -3.5% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| ALNY | -3.7% | AC crossed positive | ❌ False technical signal — AC tick, price fell |
| MLM | -3.8% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| CARR | -6.2% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| GLW | -9.8% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
Summary: 1 real appreciation (8%) · 1 range (8%) · 10 no price support / deterioration (83%)
Notable: GLW (-9.8%) did not lose its signal because the setup resolved — it lost it because the deterioration deepened. Worth monitoring in W38 as a continuation of negative momentum.
Portfolio Tracker
🟢 LIVE POSITIONS — Actual entries with real or paper capital. Updated every week.
| Ticker | Entry W# | Entry Px | Current Px | Δ% | Status | Stop / Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | No open positions | — |
Mode: Paper
The Number of the Week
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
13 active signals across 366 tickers analyzed — 3.6% of the universe.
[Editorial commentary to be added by analyst]
Follow-Up — W37 Key Names
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
| Ticker | W37 Status | W38 Status | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|
| OLN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| TTD | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p1%. |
| HUN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p6%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RBLX | S2D | Dropped | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| UDR | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| ALNY | S2D | Dropped | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| CARR | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| MLM | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CC | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p24%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NRG | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p21%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| UPS | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p30%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| YUM | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| QCOM | S2D | Dropped | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| LIN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p41%. Holding. |
| ON | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p41%. Holding. |
| NI | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p44%. Holding. |
| META | S2D | Dropped | Signal lost. AC flipped positive. |
| MCHP | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| PTCT | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| VRT | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CNP | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p59%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
W38 Candidates — Category A
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Algorithm-generated. Not editorial picks.
The 13 tickers the model flagged as priority for W39 monitoring. Ordered by price percentile (lower = more depressed relative to 52-week range).
| Ticker | Signal | Percentile | Sector | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLN | S1 | p0% | XLB | near lows |
| TTD | S2D | p1% | XLC | near lows |
| HUN | S1 | p6% | XLB | near lows |
| NRG | S1 | p21% | XLU | near lows |
| CC | S1 | p24% | XLB | near lows |
| UPS | S1 | p30% | XLI | near lows |
| NNN | S1 | p31% | XLRE | |
| LIN | S1 | p41% | XLB | |
| ON | S1 | p41% | XLK | |
| LNT | S1 | p42% | XLU | |
| NI | S1 | p44% | XLU | |
| CNP | S1 | p59% | XLU | |
| CAT | S1 | p73% | XLI |
Decision week: W39.
S2 Signals — Week 38
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
Pure S2 — Full Confirmation
None this week.
S2 Degraded — 1 Ticker
| Ticker | Sector | Percentile | Status note |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTD | XLC | p1% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
Pre-Radar — Approaching the Signal
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
55 tickers at structural lows (≤p15) with no active signal yet. Names to watch heading into W39.
| Ticker | Percentile | Sector |
|---|---|---|
| PG | p13% | XLP |
| PCG | p0% | XLU |
| CARR | p5% | XLI |
| OTIS | p0% | XLI |
| XYL | p6% | XLI |
| IR | p6% | XLI |
| CLX | p0% | XLP |
| GIS | p8% | XLP |
| HRL | p8% | XLP |
| KMB | p4% | XLP |
| PEP | p1% | XLP |
| TSN | p8% | XLP |
| CAG | p11% | XLP |
| CPB | p2% | XLP |
| TAP | p0% | XLP |
| STZ | p0% | XLP |
| SPGI | p1% | XLF |
| SYK | p0% | XLV |
| BSX | p1% | XLV |
| ZTS | p0% | XLV |
| COO | p2% | XLV |
| MLM | p13% | XLB |
| EMN | p14% | XLB |
| RPM | p11% | XLB |
| FMC | p0% | XLB |
| HD | p2% | XLY |
| MCD | p0% | XLY |
| NKE | p0% | XLY |
| LOW | p0% | XLY |
| AZO | p0% | XLY |
| LEN | p0% | XLY |
| NCLH | p0% | XLY |
| CMG | p11% | XLY |
| SNPS | p5% | XLK |
| CMCSA | p2% | XLC |
| CHTR | p2% | XLC |
| NFLX | p4% | XLC |
| TMUS | p0% | XLC |
| PINS | p13% | XLC |
| RBLX | p12% | XLC |
| ZG | p0% | XLC |
| AMT | p12% | XLRE |
| CCI | p0% | XLRE |
| VICI | p0% | XLRE |
| SBAC | p14% | XLRE |
| WY | p0% | XLRE |
| ARE | p15% | XLRE |
| MAA | p0% | XLRE |
| UDR | p3% | XLRE |
| CPT | p7% | XLRE |
| ALNY | p12% | IBB |
| RARE | p1% | IBB |
| RXRX | p12% | XBI |
| VKTX | p12% | XBI |
| SRPT | p7% | XBI |
The Universe
366 tickers · 13 sectors Sectors covered: XLU, XLI, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLB, XLY, XLK, XLC, XLRE, IBB, XBI Market reference: SPY
Active signals by type:
- S1 active: 12
- S2 degraded: 1
- S2 pure: 0
- Signal tickers at structural lows (≤p30): 6
The Ticker of the Week — Deep Dive
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Editorial interpretation. Not model output.
[To be completed by analyst]
Manager Note — W38
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Portfolio manager's macro read. Not model output.
[To be completed by analyst]
Published: 2026-09-18