Williams AO/AC Signals W41 2026 — 72 Signals Across 12 Sectors
W41 2026: 72 AO/AC signals across 366 tickers. Source: radar.db. Auto-generated.
Edition 25 · 2026-10-09
W40 Scorecard
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Published candidates from last week. No edits. No omissions.
Performance of all Category A candidates named in W40. Prices measured from the last weekly close of W40 (2026-10-02) to the last weekly close of W41 (2026-10-09). Polygon weekly bars — last trading day of the week.
| Ticker | Signal (W40) | Entry Reference | W41 Close | Δ% | Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XYL | S1 | $101.79 | $102.71 | +0.9% | — | Still S1, p2%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| OLN | S1 | $15.90 | $14.89 | -6.4% | — | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HUN | S1 | $8.53 | $8.14 | -4.6% | — | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HRL | S1 | $20.25 | $19.19 | -5.2% | — | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NCLH | S1 | $15.14 | $15.57 | +2.8% | — | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CARR | S1 | $55.12 | $55.56 | +0.8% | — | Still S1, p11%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RPM | S1 | $99.19 | $97.73 | -1.5% | — | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SO | S1 | $83.72 | $86.17 | +2.9% | — | Still S1, p29%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| IR | S1 | $76.07 | $78.75 | +3.5% | — | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SHW | S1 | $319.51 | $319.36 | -0.0% | — | Still S1, p20%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| LMT | S1 | $505.41 | $509.59 | +0.8% | — | Still S1, p35%. Holding. |
| IDXX | S1 | $518.39 | $518.00 | -0.1% | — | Still S1, p35%. Holding. |
| NI | S1 | $39.43 | $40.76 | +3.4% | — | Still S1, p43%. Holding. |
| TJX | S1 | $132.68 | $138.76 | +4.6% | — | Still S1, p47%. Holding. |
| KIM | S1 | $22.24 | $22.16 | -0.4% | — | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| BA | S1 | $193.56 | $190.37 | -1.6% | — | Still S1, p47%. Holding. |
| HON | S1 | $213.99 | $207.73 | -2.9% | — | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| PNW | S1 | $95.92 | $98.92 | +3.1% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| CCL | S1 | $25.76 | $26.35 | +2.3% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p56%. |
| RCL | S1 | $277.74 | $282.26 | +1.6% | — | Still S1, p56%. Holding. |
| DVA | S1 | $178.69 | $179.25 | +0.3% | — | Still S1, p55%. Holding. |
| CNP | S1 | $37.79 | $38.60 | +2.1% | — | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| ON | S1 | $84.89 | $77.53 | -8.7% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p50%. |
| VRT | S1 | $252.18 | $242.78 | -3.7% | — | Still S1, p59%. Holding. |
| RTX | S1 | $184.68 | $185.97 | +0.7% | — | Still S1, p66%. Holding. |
| IRM | S1 | $113.39 | $114.51 | +1.0% | — | Still S1, p68%. Holding. |
| GE | S1 | $309.56 | $308.20 | -0.4% | — | Still S1, p67%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | $164.19 | $156.68 | -4.6% | — | Still S1, p65%. Holding. |
| AVGO | S1 | $355.14 | $361.54 | +1.8% | — | Still S1, p72%. Holding. |
| MCHP | S1 | $81.32 | $75.55 | -7.1% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p62%. |
| KLAC | S1 | $206.89 | $195.57 | -5.5% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p68%. |
| CDNS | S1 | $351.35 | $352.84 | +0.4% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p78%. |
| GEV | S1 | $988.70 | $1004.73 | +1.6% | — | Still S1, p84%. Holding. |
| MPWR | S1 | $1439.73 | $1386.29 | -3.7% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p79%. |
Result key: ✓ escalation · ✗ signal lost · — holding/no position. Entry Reference = last weekly close of W40 (2026-10-02). W41 Close = last weekly close 2026-10-09. Source: radar.db weekly_bars.
Scorecard summary: 6 escalated · 1 lost signal · 27 holding · 18 of 34 positive · Avg Δ: -0.6% · SPY W40→W41: +1.2%
Exit Analysis — W40 Signals
🔴 ANALYSIS — Did the 1 name that lost signal exit on real appreciation or noise?
| Ticker | Δ% | Exit Reason | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| PNW | +3.1% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
Summary: 0 real appreciation (0%) · 1 range (100%) · 0 no price support / deterioration (0%)
Portfolio Tracker
🟢 LIVE POSITIONS — Actual entries with real or paper capital. Updated every week.
| Ticker | Entry W# | Entry Px | Current Px | Δ% | Status | Stop / Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | No open positions | — |
Mode: Paper
The Number of the Week
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
72 active signals across 366 tickers analyzed — 19.7% of the universe.
[Editorial commentary to be added by analyst]
Follow-Up — W40 Key Names
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
| Ticker | W40 Status | W41 Status | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|
| XYL | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p2%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| OLN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HUN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HRL | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p0%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NCLH | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CARR | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p11%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RPM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p29%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| IR | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SHW | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p20%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| LMT | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p35%. Holding. |
| IDXX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p35%. Holding. |
| NI | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p43%. Holding. |
| TJX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p47%. Holding. |
| KIM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| BA | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p47%. Holding. |
| HON | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| PNW | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| CCL | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p56%. |
| RCL | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p56%. Holding. |
| DVA | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p55%. Holding. |
| CNP | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| ON | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p50%. |
| VRT | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p59%. Holding. |
| RTX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p66%. Holding. |
| IRM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p68%. Holding. |
| GE | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p67%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p65%. Holding. |
| AVGO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p72%. Holding. |
| MCHP | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p62%. |
| KLAC | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p68%. |
| CDNS | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p78%. |
| GEV | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p84%. Holding. |
| MPWR | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p79%. |
W41 Candidates — Category A
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Algorithm-generated. Not editorial picks.
The 72 tickers the model flagged as priority for W42 monitoring. Ordered by price percentile (lower = more depressed relative to the 104-week (2-year) range).
| Ticker | Signal | Percentile | Sector | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRL | S1 | p0% | XLP | near lows |
| OLN | S1 | p0% | XLB | near lows |
| HUN | S1 | p0% | XLB | near lows |
| COO | S1 | p1% | XLV | near lows |
| XYL | S1 | p2% | XLI | near lows |
| MCD | S1 | p3% | XLY | near lows |
| RARE | S1 | p3% | IBB | near lows |
| CLX | S1 | p4% | XLP | near lows |
| SYK | S1 | p4% | XLV | near lows |
| TAP | S1 | p5% | XLP | near lows |
| HD | S1 | p5% | XLY | near lows |
| LOW | S1 | p5% | XLY | near lows |
| CPT | S1 | p5% | XLRE | near lows |
| KMB | S1 | p6% | XLP | near lows |
| UDR | S1 | p7% | XLRE | near lows |
| STZ | S1 | p8% | XLP | near lows |
| MLM | S1 | p8% | XLB | near lows |
| PCG | S1 | p9% | XLU | near lows |
| EMN | S1 | p9% | XLB | near lows |
| WYNN | S1 | p9% | XLY | near lows |
| RPM | S1 | p10% | XLB | near lows |
| NCLH | S1 | p10% | XLY | near lows |
| CARR | S1 | p11% | XLI | near lows |
| NOC | S1 | p13% | XLI | near lows |
| HSY | S1 | p16% | XLP | near lows |
| EIX | S1 | p18% | XLU | near lows |
| SHW | S1 | p20% | XLB | near lows |
| CC | S1 | p20% | XLB | near lows |
| VMC | S1 | p22% | XLB | near lows |
| PINS | S1 | p24% | XLC | near lows |
| NRG | S1 | p25% | XLU | near lows |
| IR | S1 | p26% | XLI | near lows |
| AMCR | S1 | p26% | XLB | near lows |
| SO | S1 | p29% | XLU | near lows |
| PHM | S1 | p32% | XLY | |
| LMT | S1 | p35% | XLI | |
| IDXX | S1 | p35% | XLV | |
| NEE | S1 | p37% | XLU | |
| EXC | S1 | p38% | XLU | |
| FDX | S1 | p41% | XLI | |
| HON | S1 | p42% | XLI | |
| SON | S1 | p42% | XLB | |
| KIM | S1 | p42% | XLRE | |
| LNT | S1 | p43% | XLU | |
| NI | S1 | p43% | XLU | |
| SRE | S1 | p46% | XLU | |
| BA | S1 | p47% | XLI | |
| TJX | S1 | p47% | XLY | |
| D | S1 | p49% | XLU | |
| ON | S2D | p50% | XLK | |
| XEL | S1 | p52% | XLU | |
| DVA | S1 | p55% | XLV | |
| TTWO | S1 | p55% | XLC | |
| CCL | S2D | p56% | XLY | |
| RCL | S1 | p56% | XLY | |
| H | S1 | p58% | XLY | |
| VRT | S1 | p59% | XLI | |
| CNP | S1 | p61% | XLU | |
| MCHP | S2D | p62% | XLK | |
| RF | S1 | p63% | XLF | |
| GLW | S1 | p65% | XLK | |
| RTX | S1 | p66% | XLI | |
| GE | S1 | p67% | XLI | |
| BBIO | S1 | p67% | IBB | |
| KLAC | S2D | p68% | XLK | |
| IRM | S1 | p68% | XLRE | |
| ETR | S1 | p72% | XLU | |
| AVGO | S1 | p72% | XLK | |
| ERAS | S1 | p73% | XBI | |
| CDNS | S2D | p78% | XLK | |
| MPWR | S2D | p79% | XLK | |
| GEV | S1 | p84% | XLI |
Decision week: W42.
S2 Signals — Week 41
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
Pure S2 — Full Confirmation
None this week.
S2 Degraded — 6 Tickers
| Ticker | Sector | Percentile | Status note |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCL | XLY | p56% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| KLAC | XLK | p68% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| CDNS | XLK | p78% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| MCHP | XLK | p62% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| ON | XLK | p50% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| MPWR | XLK | p79% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
Pre-Radar — Approaching the Signal
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
35 tickers at structural lows (≤p15) with no active signal yet. Names to watch heading into W42.
| Ticker | Percentile | Sector |
|---|---|---|
| BSX | p0% | XLV |
| CHTR | p0% | XLC |
| CMCSA | p0% | XLC |
| CPB | p0% | XLP |
| FMC | p0% | XLB |
| LEN | p0% | XLY |
| MOS | p0% | XLB |
| PEP | p0% | XLP |
| TMUS | p0% | XLC |
| TTD | p0% | XLC |
| GIS | p1% | XLP |
| NKE | p2% | XLY |
| VICI | p2% | XLRE |
| CAG | p3% | XLP |
| MAA | p3% | XLRE |
| ZG | p3% | XLC |
| WY | p4% | XLRE |
| ZTS | p4% | XLV |
| ARE | p5% | XLRE |
| KHC | p5% | XLP |
| NFLX | p5% | XLC |
| OTIS | p5% | XLI |
| SRPT | p5% | XBI |
| CMG | p6% | XLY |
| BKNG | p8% | XLY |
| ALNY | p10% | IBB |
| AZO | p10% | XLY |
| LVS | p11% | XLY |
| MGM | p11% | XLY |
| VKTX | p11% | XBI |
| EXR | p13% | XLRE |
| RBLX | p13% | XLC |
| SPGI | p13% | XLF |
| ORCL | p14% | XLK |
| TSN | p14% | XLP |
The Universe
366 tickers in universe · 366 scanned · 13 sectors Sectors covered: XLU, XLI, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLB, XLY, XLK, XLC, XLRE, IBB, XBI Market reference: SPY
Active signals by type:
- S1 active: 66
- S2 degraded: 6
- S2 pure: 0
- Signal tickers at structural lows (≤p30): 34
The Ticker of the Week — Deep Dive
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Editorial interpretation. Not model output.
[To be completed by analyst]
Manager Note — W41
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Portfolio manager's macro read. Not model output.
[To be completed by analyst]
Published: 2026-10-09