Williams AO/AC Signals W42 2026 — 78 Signals Across 13 Sectors
W42 2026: 78 AO/AC signals across 365 tickers. Source: radar.db. Auto-generated.
Edition 26 · 2026-10-16
W41 Scorecard
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Published candidates from last week. No edits. No omissions.
Performance of all Category A candidates named in W41. Prices measured from the last weekly close of W41 (2026-10-09) to the last weekly close of W42 (2026-10-16). Polygon weekly bars — last trading day of the week.
| Ticker | Signal (W41) | Entry Reference | W42 Close | Δ% | Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRL | S1 | $19.19 | $20.40 | +6.3% | — | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| OLN | S1 | $14.89 | $15.65 | +5.1% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| HUN | S1 | $8.14 | $8.58 | +5.4% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| COO | S1 | $54.37 | $57.94 | +6.6% | — | Still S1, p7%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| XYL | S1 | $102.71 | $104.05 | +1.3% | — | Still S1, p5%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| MCD | S1 | $235.23 | $242.97 | +3.3% | — | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RARE | S1 | $15.48 | $14.54 | -6.1% | — | Still S1, p1%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CLX | S1 | $83.80 | $87.09 | +3.9% | — | Still S1, p8%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SYK | S1 | $277.33 | $294.66 | +6.2% | — | Still S1, p17%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| TAP | S1 | $37.20 | $39.52 | +6.2% | — | Still S1, p13%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HD | S1 | $290.74 | $309.63 | +6.5% | — | Still S1, p18%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| LOW | S1 | $186.00 | $197.38 | +6.1% | — | Still S1, p16%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CPT | S1 | $97.58 | $98.59 | +1.0% | — | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| KMB | S1 | $97.59 | $105.57 | +8.2% | — | Still S1, p22%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| UDR | S1 | $34.12 | $34.26 | +0.4% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| STZ | S1 | $122.64 | $131.35 | +7.1% | — | Still S1, p14%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| MLM | S1 | $478.35 | $500.84 | +4.7% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| PCG | S1 | $13.13 | $13.09 | -0.3% | — | Still S1, p8%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| EMN | S1 | $62.69 | $62.33 | -0.6% | — | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| WYNN | S1 | $75.15 | $75.60 | +0.6% | — | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RPM | S1 | $97.73 | $99.73 | +2.0% | — | Still S1, p14%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NCLH | S1 | $15.57 | $15.05 | -3.3% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p7%. |
| CARR | S1 | $55.56 | $55.00 | -1.0% | — | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NOC | S1 | $480.72 | $519.86 | +8.1% | — | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HSY | S1 | $162.74 | $170.83 | +5.0% | — | Still S1, p25%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| EIX | S1 | $55.30 | $55.93 | +1.1% | — | Still S1, p19%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SHW | S1 | $319.36 | $335.20 | +5.0% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| CC | S1 | $13.61 | $12.74 | -6.4% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| VMC | S1 | $244.58 | $257.63 | +5.3% | — | Still S1, p34%. Holding. |
| PINS | S1 | $21.40 | $21.91 | +2.4% | — | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NRG | S1 | $107.97 | $103.75 | -3.9% | — | Still S1, p21%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| IR | S1 | $78.75 | $77.78 | -1.2% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p23%. |
| AMCR | S1 | $41.72 | $43.85 | +5.1% | — | Still S1, p39%. Holding. |
| SO | S1 | $86.17 | $91.18 | +5.8% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| PHM | S1 | $112.12 | $113.55 | +1.3% | — | Still S1, p40%. Holding. |
| LMT | S1 | $509.59 | $552.09 | +8.3% | — | Still S1, p52%. Holding. |
| IDXX | S1 | $518.00 | $560.36 | +8.2% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p47%. |
| NEE | S1 | $77.38 | $79.80 | +3.1% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| EXC | S1 | $41.76 | $43.50 | +4.2% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| FDX | S1 | $291.71 | $293.55 | +0.6% | — | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| HON | S1 | $207.73 | $211.41 | +1.8% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p47%. |
| SON | S1 | $47.92 | $49.79 | +3.9% | — | Still S1, p51%. Holding. |
| KIM | S1 | $22.16 | $22.91 | +3.4% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| LNT | S1 | $65.85 | $68.32 | +3.8% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| NI | S1 | $40.76 | $42.68 | +4.7% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| SRE | S1 | $81.34 | $83.41 | +2.5% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| BA | S1 | $190.37 | $190.21 | -0.1% | — | Still S1, p46%. Holding. |
| TJX | S1 | $138.76 | $147.33 | +6.2% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p62%. |
| ON | S2D | $77.53 | $72.02 | -7.1% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.96). |
| XEL | S1 | $73.78 | $76.31 | +3.4% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| DVA | S1 | $179.25 | $187.31 | +4.5% | — | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| TTWO | S1 | $213.44 | $205.28 | -3.8% | — | Still S1, p44%. Holding. |
| CCL | S2D | $26.35 | $25.90 | -1.7% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.89). |
| RCL | S1 | $282.26 | $277.68 | -1.6% | ✓ | Escalated to S2D. p54%. |
| VRT | S1 | $242.78 | $206.42 | -15.0% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CNP | S1 | $38.60 | $40.55 | +5.1% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| MCHP | S2D | $75.55 | $73.85 | -2.3% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+1.15). |
| RF | S1 | $27.03 | $27.45 | +1.6% | — | Still S1, p66%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | $156.68 | $132.00 | -15.8% | ✗ | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| RTX | S1 | $185.97 | $193.92 | +4.3% | — | Still S1, p73%. Holding. |
| GE | S1 | $308.20 | $313.83 | +1.8% | — | Still S1, p70%. Holding. |
| BBIO | S1 | $65.35 | $66.39 | +1.6% | — | Still S1, p69%. Holding. |
| KLAC | S2D | $195.57 | $165.74 | -15.3% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.33). |
| IRM | S1 | $114.51 | $112.51 | -1.7% | — | Still S1, p64%. Holding. |
| ETR | S1 | $102.80 | $105.11 | +2.2% | ✗ | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| AVGO | S1 | $361.54 | $328.75 | -9.1% | — | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| ERAS | S1 | $16.03 | $13.39 | -16.5% | — | Still S1, p60%. Holding. |
| CDNS | S2D | $352.84 | $319.51 | -9.4% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+9.38). |
| MPWR | S2D | $1386.29 | $1210.86 | -12.7% | ✗ | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+28.77). |
| GEV | S1 | $1004.73 | $921.20 | -8.3% | — | Still S1, p74%. Holding. |
Result key: ✓ escalation · ✗ signal lost · — holding/no position. Entry Reference = last weekly close of W41 (2026-10-09). W42 Close = last weekly close 2026-10-16. Source: radar.db weekly_bars.
Scorecard summary: 6 escalated · 24 lost signal · 40 holding · 47 of 70 positive · Avg Δ: +0.7% · SPY W41→W42: -2.0%
Exit Analysis — W41 Signals
🔴 ANALYSIS — Did the 24 names that lost signal exit on real appreciation or noise?
| Ticker | Δ% | Exit Reason | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| SO | +5.8% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| HUN | +5.4% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| OLN | +5.1% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| CNP | +5.1% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| SHW | +5.0% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| NI | +4.7% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| MLM | +4.7% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| EXC | +4.2% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| LNT | +3.8% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| XEL | +3.4% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| KIM | +3.4% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| NEE | +3.1% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| SRE | +2.5% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| ETR | +2.2% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| UDR | +0.4% | Ranging filter | ⚠️ Range — ranging confirmed by filter |
| CCL | -1.7% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | ❌ False technical signal — AC tick, price fell |
| MCHP | -2.3% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | ❌ False technical signal — AC tick, price fell |
| CC | -6.4% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| ON | -7.1% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| CDNS | -9.4% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| MPWR | -12.7% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| VRT | -15.0% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| KLAC | -15.3% | AC stayed positive after the zero-cross | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
| GLW | -15.8% | AC turned negative | 🔴 Breakdown — deterioration, not resolution |
Summary: 0 real appreciation (0%) · 13 range (54%) · 11 no price support / deterioration (46%)
Notable: GLW (-15.8%) did not lose its signal because the setup resolved — it lost it because the deterioration deepened. Worth monitoring in W43 as a continuation of negative momentum.
Portfolio Tracker
🟢 LIVE POSITIONS — Actual entries with real or paper capital. Updated every week.
| Ticker | Entry W# | Entry Px | Current Px | Δ% | Status | Stop / Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | No open positions | — |
Mode: Paper
The Number of the Week
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
78 active signals across 365 tickers analyzed — 21.4% of the universe.
Up from 72 in W41, and the S2D count rose from 6 to 9. The universe is still mostly S1 (69 of 78), so the radar is reading broad weakness, not a handful of stories. 43 of the signal tickers sit at or below the 30th percentile of their range.
Follow-Up — W41 Key Names
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
| Ticker | W41 Status | W42 Status | What changed |
|---|---|---|---|
| HRL | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| OLN | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| HUN | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| COO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p7%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| XYL | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p5%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| MCD | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p10%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RARE | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p1%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CLX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p8%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SYK | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p17%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| TAP | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p13%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HD | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p18%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| LOW | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p16%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| CPT | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| KMB | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p22%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| UDR | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| STZ | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p14%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| MLM | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| PCG | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p8%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| EMN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| WYNN | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| RPM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p14%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NCLH | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p7%. |
| CARR | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p9%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NOC | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| HSY | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p25%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| EIX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p19%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| SHW | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| CC | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| VMC | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p34%. Holding. |
| PINS | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p26%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| NRG | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p21%. At structural lows. Holding. |
| IR | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p23%. |
| AMCR | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p39%. Holding. |
| SO | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| PHM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p40%. Holding. |
| LMT | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p52%. Holding. |
| IDXX | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p47%. |
| NEE | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| EXC | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| FDX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p42%. Holding. |
| HON | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p47%. |
| SON | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p51%. Holding. |
| KIM | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| LNT | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| NI | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| SRE | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| BA | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p46%. Holding. |
| TJX | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p62%. |
| ON | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.96). |
| XEL | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| DVA | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| TTWO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p44%. Holding. |
| CCL | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.89). |
| RCL | S1 | S2D | Escalated to S2D. p54%. |
| VRT | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| CNP | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| MCHP | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+1.15). |
| RF | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p66%. Holding. |
| GLW | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. AC turned red. |
| RTX | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p73%. Holding. |
| GE | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p70%. Holding. |
| BBIO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p69%. Holding. |
| KLAC | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+0.33). |
| IRM | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p64%. Holding. |
| ETR | S1 | Dropped | Signal lost. Ranging filter triggered (lateralization). |
| AVGO | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p61%. Holding. |
| ERAS | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p60%. Holding. |
| CDNS | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+9.38). |
| MPWR | S2D | Dropped | S2D confirmation week passed. AC stays positive (+28.77). |
| GEV | S1 | S1 | Still S1, p74%. Holding. |
W42 Candidates — Category A
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT — Algorithm-generated. Not editorial picks.
The 78 tickers the model flagged as priority for W43 monitoring. Ordered by price percentile (lower = more depressed relative to the 104-week (2-year) range).
| Ticker | Signal | Percentile | Sector | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RARE | S1 | p1% | IBB | near lows |
| CPB | S1 | p2% | XLP | near lows |
| CHTR | S1 | p2% | XLC | near lows |
| BSX | S2D | p3% | XLV | near lows |
| GIS | S1 | p3% | XLP | near lows |
| MAA | S1 | p3% | XLRE | near lows |
| XYL | S1 | p5% | XLI | near lows |
| CMCSA | S1 | p5% | XLC | near lows |
| NFLX | S1 | p5% | XLC | near lows |
| NKE | S2D | p7% | XLY | near lows |
| NCLH | S2D | p7% | XLY | near lows |
| COO | S1 | p7% | XLV | near lows |
| ZG | S1 | p7% | XLC | near lows |
| PCG | S1 | p8% | XLU | near lows |
| CLX | S1 | p8% | XLP | near lows |
| WY | S1 | p8% | XLRE | near lows |
| CARR | S1 | p9% | XLI | near lows |
| HRL | S1 | p9% | XLP | near lows |
| CAG | S1 | p9% | XLP | near lows |
| EMN | S1 | p9% | XLB | near lows |
| WYNN | S1 | p9% | XLY | near lows |
| VICI | S1 | p9% | XLRE | near lows |
| CPT | S1 | p9% | XLRE | near lows |
| MCD | S1 | p10% | XLY | near lows |
| BKNG | S1 | p12% | XLY | near lows |
| TAP | S1 | p13% | XLP | near lows |
| ALLO | S1 | p13% | XBI | near lows |
| STZ | S1 | p14% | XLP | near lows |
| RPM | S1 | p14% | XLB | near lows |
| LOW | S1 | p16% | XLY | near lows |
| LVS | S1 | p16% | XLY | near lows |
| SYK | S1 | p17% | XLV | near lows |
| HD | S1 | p18% | XLY | near lows |
| EIX | S1 | p19% | XLU | near lows |
| NRG | S1 | p21% | XLU | near lows |
| KMB | S1 | p22% | XLP | near lows |
| IR | S2D | p23% | XLI | near lows |
| HSY | S1 | p25% | XLP | near lows |
| NOC | S1 | p26% | XLI | near lows |
| PINS | S1 | p26% | XLC | near lows |
| IONS | S1 | p27% | IBB | near lows |
| ALB | S1 | p28% | XLB | near lows |
| O | S1 | p29% | XLRE | near lows |
| CBRE | S1 | p31% | XLRE | |
| NNN | S1 | p31% | XLRE | |
| OMC | S1 | p32% | XLC | |
| VMC | S1 | p34% | XLB | |
| SBAC | S1 | p34% | XLRE | |
| CCI | S2D | p35% | XLRE | |
| AMCR | S1 | p39% | XLB | |
| PHM | S1 | p40% | XLY | |
| FDX | S1 | p42% | XLI | |
| BEAM | S1 | p42% | XBI | |
| PTCT | S1 | p43% | XBI | |
| TTWO | S1 | p44% | XLC | |
| BA | S1 | p46% | XLI | |
| HON | S2D | p47% | XLI | |
| IDXX | S2D | p47% | XLV | |
| LYB | S1 | p47% | XLB | |
| SON | S1 | p51% | XLB | |
| SBUX | S1 | p51% | XLY | |
| LMT | S1 | p52% | XLI | |
| RCL | S2D | p54% | XLY | |
| BKR | S1 | p60% | XLE | |
| ERAS | S1 | p60% | XBI | |
| MCO | S1 | p61% | XLF | |
| DVA | S1 | p61% | XLV | |
| AVGO | S1 | p61% | XLK | |
| TJX | S2D | p62% | XLY | |
| RCUS | S1 | p63% | XBI | |
| IRM | S1 | p64% | XLRE | |
| RF | S1 | p66% | XLF | |
| H | S1 | p66% | XLY | |
| BBIO | S1 | p69% | IBB | |
| GE | S1 | p70% | XLI | |
| RTX | S1 | p73% | XLI | |
| GEV | S1 | p74% | XLI | |
| CVS | S1 | p76% | XLV |
Decision week: W43.
S2 Signals — Week 42
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
Pure S2 — Full Confirmation
None this week.
S2 Degraded — 9 Tickers
| Ticker | Sector | Percentile | Status note |
|---|---|---|---|
| IR | XLI | p23% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| BSX | XLV | p3% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| NKE | XLY | p7% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| NCLH | XLY | p7% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| HON | XLI | p47% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| IDXX | XLV | p47% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| TJX | XLY | p62% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| RCL | XLY | p54% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
| CCI | XLRE | p35% | AC crossed; AO already recovering |
Pre-Radar — Approaching the Signal
🔴 MODEL OUTPUT
21 tickers at structural lows (≤p15) with no active signal yet. Names to watch heading into W43.
| Ticker | Percentile | Sector |
|---|---|---|
| ARE | p0% | XLRE |
| FMC | p0% | XLB |
| MOS | p0% | XLB |
| TTD | p0% | XLC |
| LEN | p1% | XLY |
| CMG | p2% | XLY |
| HUN | p3% | XLB |
| OLN | p3% | XLB |
| SRPT | p4% | XBI |
| VKTX | p5% | XBI |
| ORCL | p7% | XLK |
| RXRX | p7% | XBI |
| MGM | p8% | XLY |
| UDR | p8% | XLRE |
| TMUS | p9% | XLC |
| ZTS | p9% | XLV |
| ALNY | p10% | IBB |
| SMMT | p10% | XBI |
| PEP | p12% | XLP |
| RBLX | p14% | XLC |
| CC | p15% | XLB |
The Universe
366 tickers in universe · 365 scanned · 13 sectors Not scanned this week: WBD Sectors covered: XLU, XLI, XLP, XLE, XLF, XLV, XLB, XLY, XLK, XLC, XLRE, IBB, XBI Market reference: SPY
Active signals by type:
- S1 active: 69
- S2 degraded: 9
- S2 pure: 0
- Signal tickers at structural lows (≤p30): 43
The Ticker of the Week — Deep Dive
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Editorial interpretation. Not model output.
Corning (GLW): the clearest case of a signal that ended because the damage deepened.
Why GLW this week. GLW fell 15.8% from the W41 reference to the W42 close and lost its signal because AC turned negative. That is the opposite of resolution. Of the 24 names that lost a signal, it fell the most. The tech group fell hard together: KLAC -15.3%, VRT -15.0%, MPWR -12.7%, CDNS -9.4%.
What the exits say. None of the 24 exits shows real appreciation. 13 were ranging-filter exits (utilities and real estate mostly) and 11 were deterioration. The bounces in utilities were range, not recovery.
What we do not know. This note uses only the radar's own output. I did not review GLW's business or news for this edition, so there is no fundamental read here. Watch W43 for continuation of the negative momentum.
Manager Note — W42
🟡 ANALYST COMMENTARY — Portfolio manager's macro read. Not model output.
The book beat the market in a down week, but the signal exits were weak. 47 of 70 scorecard names rose, with an average of +0.7% against SPY at -2.0%. Even so, none of the 24 exits showed real appreciation: 13 were range and 11 were deterioration.
Read. Holding names did the work. The six escalations to S2D (NCLH, IR, IDXX, HON and others) are the ones to watch next. Posture stays Paper, no open positions.
Published: 2026-10-16